Thursday, August 13, 2009

One More Shot

What are you supposed to do at work on a Thurday morning? Watch the PGA Championship. Tiger, Paddy, and Rich Beem are grouped together through the first 2 rounds. I would like to see Tiger v. Paddy on Sunday again. I wanted to see that at Augusta in April since Paddy won the last 2 majors of 2008 when Tiger was out with a torn up knee and broken leg.  Now that Paddy seems to have found his stride again (except for those pesky rules officials) I think him and Tiger are probably the two best golfers out there today...ok, you got me, Tiger, Phil, and Paddy would be just a blast to watch.
 
Oh, wait, there is baseball to talk about?
 
Let's talk about Golf and Baseball So Golf and Rugby are going to be voted on to be included in the Olympics.  So in 2016 Tiger Woods will be 40 years old when that comes around...I think golf should be a lock to make it into the Olympics.  It is a Global sport and frankly I am surprised it is not included already. What is more taxing, playing 72 holes in 4 days or speedwalking? Yeah, golf is a sport so shut the hell up.  Rugby should be a lock as well. However, Baseball was left off the vote to be included, same with squash, roller sports (really, how the hell should that be in the Olympics) and softball.  I am fine with baseball not being included...kind of. We do not send out good players, MLB will not shut down for a few weeks for the tournament, and not even the best prospects go to play.  Some people do not like the idea of tournament baseball or nations playing each other and blah blah blah. Sack up, its baseball, and most big time fans will watch the USA games.  Still, I think softball should be in the Olympics.  Ok, so the USA wins every year, boo hoo. Australia and Japan always give us a game and sometimes pull off the win.  I like watching Olympic softball.  I will admit it would be hard to find an Olympic sport I do not enjoy watching (Ice Dancing would be one) but still, I think Softball has a better case than baseball because the elite talent in the sport shows up to play.
 
What would you pay Aaron Harang? So he strikes out a lot of guys, gives up a ton of long balls (away from the bandbox he plays in as well), and he has an astronomical BABIP and line drive %.  He cleared waivers and is set to earn $12.5 million next year.  I'm not an expert on putting a monetary value on a player, though it seems like a fairly simple statistical exercise, but from what I know about Aaron Harang...that is a little more than he is worth now, unless to goes back to 2005-2007 Aaron Harang when he was worth appx. $17-20 million a year.  He is worth a shot for someone, especially a team that plays in a pitchers park (hey Detroit, how is Washburn working out?).
 
Lots and lots of math. Wow, and you need to have read The Book in order to understand everything. In short it is about finding the true talent level of a player with previous data, error, bias, and regression to the mean. It's a fun read and I will probably sit down and do the math at some point, but right now it seems like too much. 
 
Strasburg negotiations to go down to the wire. No way, really? Once again, if he turns down over $20 Million......i just keep telling myself do not wish bad on others.
 
Your Idiot of the Day. Well let me tell you something Bronson...they are not working.
 
 
Back with more in a bit..
 
 
 
 

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